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Armenia · Premier League

19 May 2026 15:00 UTC

FC NOAH vs ARARAT

Final 8:3

FC Noah won Last goal: FC Noah

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matheus Aiás — FC Noah
  2. ⚽ Nathanael Saintini — FC Noah
  3. ⚽ Matheus Aiás — FC Noah
  4. ⚽ Kalifala Doumbia — Ararat

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aboubacar Sidick Ouattara — Ararat
  2. ⚽ Marin Jakolis — FC Noah
  3. ⚽ Marin Jakolis — FC Noah
  4. ⚽ Gor Lulukyan — Ararat
  5. ⚽ Helder — FC Noah
  6. ⚽ Imran Omar (penalty) — FC Noah
  7. ⚽ Nardin Mulahusejnovic — FC Noah

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Ararat
90-minute result: FC Noah
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 8:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 126 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 123 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
87 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
51 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
90 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
107 predictions

Match overview