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Armenia · Premier League

26 May 2026 15:00 UTC

ALASHKERT FC vs SHIRAK

Final 2:0

Alashkert FC won Last goal: Shirak

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Aleksa Vidic (own goal) — Alashkert FC
  2. ⚽ Yaroslav Matyukhin — Alashkert FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Alashkert FC
90-minute result: Alashkert FC
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 128 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 125 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
88 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
91 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
33 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
109 predictions

Match overview