← Back to matches

Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

22 May 2026 18:00 UTC

KA AKUREYRI vs VALUR

Final 0:1

Valur won Last goal: Valur

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Albin Skoglund — Valur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
37%
1X2
Valur
90-minute result: Valur
Off target
66%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 139 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 117 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 45% (Weak)
Total 4.5 55% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
93 predictions
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 32% (Weak)
19 predictions

Match overview