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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Promotion Group

25 May 2026 16:00 UTC

HAPOEL RISHON LEZION vs HAPOEL KFAR SHALEM

Final 2:6

Hapoel Kfar Shalem won Last goal: Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Or Roizman — Hapoel Kfar Shalem
  2. ⚽ Lior Shauer (own goal) — Hapoel Kfar Shalem
  3. ⚽ Ohad Hazut (own goal) — Hapoel Rishon LeZion

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Guy Sivilia — Hapoel Kfar Shalem
  2. ⚽ Eligijus Jankauskas (penalty) — Hapoel Rishon LeZion
  3. ⚽ Shon Edri (own goal) — Hapoel Kfar Shalem
  4. ⚽ Yehoda Belay — Hapoel Kfar Shalem
  5. ⚽ Nir Hasson — Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:6

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 96 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 268 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
79 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
219 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
237 predictions

Match overview