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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League ECL Group

25 May 2026 14:45 UTC

LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV vs BOTEV PLOVDIV

Final 2:1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv won Last goal: Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joël Zwarts — Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  2. ⚽ Nikola Iliev — Botev Plovdiv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joël Zwarts — Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
51%
1X2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
90-minute result: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 284 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 285 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
139 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
171 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
236 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
272 predictions

Match overview