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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League Relegation Group

22 May 2026 15:00 UTC

SEPTEMVRI SOFIA vs DOBRUDZHA DOBRICH

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Dobrudzha Dobrich

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martin Hristov — Septemvri Sofia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Georgi Trifonov — Dobrudzha Dobrich
  2. 🟥 Bozhidar Tomovski (2nd yellow) — Septemvri Sofia
  3. 🟥 Galin Ivanov (straight red) — Septemvri Sofia
  4. 🟥 Anton Ivanov (2nd yellow) — Dobrudzha Dobrich
  5. 🟥 Vasco Oliveira (straight red) — Dobrudzha Dobrich

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 99 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 281 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
80 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
168 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
232 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview