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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League Relegation Group

22 May 2026 15:00 UTC

BOTEV VRATSA vs BEROE

Final 3:0

Botev Vratsa won Last goal: Botev Vratsa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mitchy Ntelo — Botev Vratsa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Martin Petkov — Botev Vratsa
  2. ⚽ Kassim Hadji — Botev Vratsa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Beroe
90-minute result: Botev Vratsa
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 281 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
201 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
145 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
113 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
232 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview