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Guatemala · Liga Nacional · Clausura Final Stage

03 May 2026 22:30 UTC

CSD MUNICIPAL vs GUASTATOYA

Good signal

Model prediction

Strong
51%
1X2
CSD Municipal
Good
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
40%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
13%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 93 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 276 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 90 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
198 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
149 predictions
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
164 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
228 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
251 predictions

Match preview