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Sweden · Superettan

23 May 2026 15:00 UTC

FALKENBERGS FF vs IFK VAERNAMO

Final 3:1

Falkenbergs FF won Last goal: Falkenbergs FF

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tim Staalheden — Falkenbergs FF
  2. ⚽ Oskar Lindberg — Falkenbergs FF

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Logi Hrafn Robertsson — IFK Vaernamo
  2. ⚽ Godwin Aguda — Falkenbergs FF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Falkenbergs FF
90-minute result: Falkenbergs FF
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 32 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
153 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
118 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
162 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
125 predictions
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 4.5 20% (Weak)
30 predictions

Match overview