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Slovenia · Prva Liga

22 May 2026 18:00 UTC

PRIMORJE vs NK CELJE

Final 0:4

NK Celje won Last goal: NK Celje

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Nikita Iosifov — NK Celje
  2. Rudi Pozeg Vancas — NK Celje
  3. Nikita Iosifov — NK Celje
  4. Armandas Kucys — NK Celje

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 157 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 154 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 65% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
117 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
107 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
134 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
95 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
123 predictions

Match overview