← Back to matches

Slovenia · Prva Liga

17 May 2026 13:00 UTC

MURA vs MARIBOR

Final 2:1

Mura won Last goal: Maribor

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kenan Kurtovic — Mura

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nino Kouter — Mura
  2. ⚽ Nejc Viher — Maribor

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Maribor
90-minute result: Mura
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 155 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 152 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
107 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 20% (Weak)
30 predictions

Match overview