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Slovenia · Prva Liga

16 May 2026 15:30 UTC

NK CELJE vs KOPER

Final 1:2

Koper won Last goal: NK Celje

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Isaac Matondo — Koper

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Svit Seslar (penalty) — NK Celje
  2. ⚽ Isaac Matondo — Koper

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Koper
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 17% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 153 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 150 completed matches.

1X2 14% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 52% (Average)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 14% (Weak)
35 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
106 predictions
Total 3.5 37% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
120 predictions

Match overview