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Armenia · Premier League

17 May 2026 15:00 UTC

BKMA vs ARARAT ARMENIA

Final 2:3

Ararat Armenia won Last goal: Ararat Armenia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Narek Hovhannisyan — BKMA

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mark Avetisyan — BKMA
  2. ⚽ Arayik Eloyan — Ararat Armenia
  3. ⚽ João Queirós — Ararat Armenia
  4. ⚽ Hugo Oliveira (penalty) — Ararat Armenia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Ararat Armenia
90-minute result: Ararat Armenia
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 123 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 120 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
85 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
88 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 4.5 7% (Weak)
15 predictions

Match overview