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Armenia · Premier League

10 May 2026 12:00 UTC

ARARAT vs URARTU FC

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

Urartu FC won Last goal: Urartu FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Khariton Ayvazyan — Urartu FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Urartu FC
90-minute result: Urartu FC
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 120 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 117 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
82 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
49 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
58 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
102 predictions

Match overview