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Russia · Premier League

17 May 2026 15:00 UTC

KRYLYA SOVETOV SAMARA vs AKRON TOGLIATTI

Final 4:1

Krylya Sovetov Samara won Last goal: Akron Togliatti

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Amar Rahmanovic (penalty) — Krylya Sovetov Samara
  2. ⚽ Maksim Vityugov — Krylya Sovetov Samara
  3. ⚽ Maksim Vityugov — Krylya Sovetov Samara
  4. ⚽ Nikolay Rasskazov · assist Kirill Pechenin — Krylya Sovetov Samara

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nikita Bazilevskiy (penalty) — Akron Togliatti

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
29%
1X2
Akron Togliatti
90-minute result: Krylya Sovetov Samara
Nice call
49%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 226 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
154 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
181 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
205 predictions

Match overview