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Russia · Premier League

17 May 2026 15:00 UTC

BALTIKA vs DINAMO MOSCOW

Final 1:2

Dinamo Moscow won Last goal: Dinamo Moscow

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Arthur Gomes · assist Daniil Fomin — Dinamo Moscow

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Derik Lacerda · assist Eldar Civic — Baltika
  2. ⚽ Konstantin Tyukavin — Dinamo Moscow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Dinamo Moscow
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 82 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 226 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 16% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
205 predictions

Match overview