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Russia · Premier League

17 May 2026 15:00 UTC

RUBIN KAZAN vs NIZHNY NOVGOROD

Final 2:2 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Rubin Kazan

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ruslan Bezrukov · assist Veldin Hodza — Rubin Kazan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nikita Kakkoev (own goal) — Rubin Kazan
  2. ⚽ Vyacheslav Grulev · assist Nikita Kakkoev — Nizhny Novgorod
  3. ⚽ Vyacheslav Grulev · assist Olakunle Olusegun — Nizhny Novgorod

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
49%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
76%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 82 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 226 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 16% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
205 predictions

Match overview