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Germany · 2. Bundesliga

17 May 2026 13:30 UTC

MAGDEBURG vs KAISERSLAUTERN

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

Kaiserslautern won Last goal: Kaiserslautern

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marlon Ritter (penalty) — Kaiserslautern

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Kaiserslautern
90-minute result: Kaiserslautern
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
8%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 295 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
223 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 12% (Weak)
41 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
254 predictions

Match overview