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Germany · 2. Bundesliga

17 May 2026 13:30 UTC

HANNOVER 96 vs NUERNBERG

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Nuernberg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Alì Zoma · assist Javier Fernández — Nuernberg
  2. ⚽ Kolja Oudenne · assist Waniss Taïbi — Hannover 96
  3. ⚽ Waniss Taïbi · assist Mustapha Bundu — Hannover 96

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Alì Zoma · assist Julian Justvan — Nuernberg
  2. ⚽ Luka Lochoshvili (own goal) — Hannover 96
  3. ⚽ Luka Lochoshvili · assist Berkay Yilmaz — Nuernberg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Hannover 96
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 295 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
223 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
252 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
254 predictions

Match overview