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Germany · 2. Bundesliga

17 May 2026 13:30 UTC

DARMSTADT vs PADERBORN

Final 0:2

Paderborn won Last goal: Paderborn

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stefano Marino · assist Mattes Hansen — Paderborn

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sven Michel · assist Filip Bilbija — Paderborn

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Paderborn
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 84 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 295 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
70 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
188 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
252 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
254 predictions

Match overview