← Back to matches

Scotland · Premiership · Premiership Relegation Group

17 May 2026 13:00 UTC

LIVINGSTON vs KILMARNOCK

Final 1:4

Top match Kilmarnock won Last goal: Kilmarnock

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stevie May — Livingston
  2. ⚽ Joe Hugill — Kilmarnock
  3. ⚽ Nicky Clescenco — Kilmarnock

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Findlay Curtis — Kilmarnock
  2. ⚽ Joe Hugill — Kilmarnock

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Livingston
90-minute result: Kilmarnock
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 220 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
166 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
65 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
23 predictions

Match overview