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Scotland · Premiership · Premiership Championship Group

16 May 2026 11:30 UTC

FALKIRK vs RANGERS

Final 2:5

Top match Rangers won Last goal: Rangers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Youssef Chermiti — Rangers
  2. ⚽ Youssef Chermiti — Rangers
  3. ⚽ Jack Butland (own goal) — Falkirk
  4. ⚽ Djeidi Gassama — Rangers
  5. ⚽ Calvin Miller (penalty) — Falkirk

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Youssef Chermiti — Rangers
  2. ⚽ Thelo Aasgaard (penalty) — Rangers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Rangers
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
14%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 64 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 213 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 217 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
53 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
127 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
179 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
122 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
194 predictions

Match overview