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Scotland · Premiership · Premiership Relegation Group

17 May 2026 13:00 UTC

ST. MIRREN vs DUNDEE UNITED

Final 1:1

Top match Draw Last goal: St. Mirren

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zachary Sapsford — Dundee United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jake Young — St. Mirren

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Dundee United
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 220 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
166 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
197 predictions

Match overview