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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion - Group 2

16 May 2026 19:00 UTC

JUVENTUD TORREMOLINOS CF vs REAL MURCIA

Final 1:3

Real Murcia won Last goal: Juventud Torremolinos CF

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joel Jorquera — Real Murcia
  2. ⚽ Joel Jorquera — Real Murcia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ David Bosilj — Real Murcia
  2. ⚽ Alex Camacho (penalty) — Juventud Torremolinos CF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Real Murcia
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 270 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 729 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 705 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
215 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
366 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
491 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
425 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
584 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
656 predictions

Match overview