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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion - Group 2

16 May 2026 19:00 UTC

ALGECIRAS vs HERCULES

Final 0:2

Hercules won Last goal: Hercules

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fran Sol — Hercules

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Fede Vico — Hercules

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Algeciras
90-minute result: Hercules
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
6:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 729 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 705 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
490 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
366 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
491 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
280 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
121 predictions
Total 4.5 14% (Weak)
49 predictions

Match overview