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Portugal · Liga Portugal

16 May 2026 19:30 UTC

ESTORIL vs BENFICA

Final 1:3

Benfica won Last goal: Estoril

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Richard Ríos — Benfica
  2. ⚽ Alexander Bah · assist Tomás Araújo — Benfica
  3. ⚽ Rafa · assist Gianluca Prestianni — Benfica

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Peixinho · assist Kévin Boma — Estoril

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
47%
1X2
Estoril
90-minute result: Benfica
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
66%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
66%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
66%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 288 completed matches.

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
208 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
126 predictions
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
229 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
263 predictions

Match overview