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Portugal · Liga Portugal

16 May 2026 14:30 UTC

FC PORTO vs SANTA CLARA

Final 1:0

FC Porto won Last goal: FC Porto

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sidney Lima (own goal) — FC Porto

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
47%
1X2
FC Porto
90-minute result: FC Porto
As expected
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
61%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
61%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
61%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 288 completed matches.

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
208 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
162 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
231 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
141 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 4.5 20% (Weak)
25 predictions

Match overview