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South Africa · Premier Soccer League

16 May 2026 13:00 UTC

AMAZULU FC vs KAIZER CHIEFS

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

Kaizer Chiefs won Last goal: Kaizer Chiefs

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Makabi Lilepo — Kaizer Chiefs
  2. 🟥 Makabi Lilepo (straight red) — Kaizer Chiefs

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Kaizer Chiefs
90-minute result: Kaizer Chiefs
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
13%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
153 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 44% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
143 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
216 predictions

Match overview