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South Africa · Premier Soccer League

16 May 2026 13:00 UTC

POLOKWANE CITY vs MARUMO GALLANTS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Marumo Gallants

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Banele Mnguni — Polokwane City

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Doumbia — Marumo Gallants

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Polokwane City
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
18%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
153 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 44% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
143 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
216 predictions

Match overview