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South Africa · Premier Soccer League

12 May 2026 17:30 UTC

TS GALAXY vs MAMELODI SUNDOWNS FC

Final 3:2

TS Galaxy won Last goal: TS Galaxy

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Victor Letsoalo (penalty) — TS Galaxy
  2. ⚽ Sedwyn George — TS Galaxy
  3. ⚽ Brayan Leon — Mamelodi Sundowns FC
  4. ⚽ Brayan Leon (penalty) — Mamelodi Sundowns FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mpho Mvelase — TS Galaxy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Mamelodi Sundowns FC
90-minute result: TS Galaxy
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 223 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
152 predictions
Both teams to score 34% (Weak)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
154 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
189 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
215 predictions

Match overview