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England · Women's Super League · WSL

16 May 2026 12:00 UTC

WEST HAM UNITED WOMEN vs MANCHESTER CITY WOMEN

Final 1:4

Manchester City Women won Last goal: Manchester City Women

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jade Rose · assist Alex Greenwood — Manchester City Women

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Khadija Shaw · assist Aoba Fujino — Manchester City Women
  2. ⚽ Seraina Piubel · assist Ffion Morgan — West Ham United Women
  3. ⚽ Khadija Shaw — Manchester City Women
  4. ⚽ Laura Coombs — Manchester City Women

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Manchester City Women
90-minute result: Manchester City Women
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 124 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 124 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
101 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
43 predictions
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
105 predictions

Match overview