← Back to matches

England · Women's Super League · WSL

16 May 2026 12:00 UTC

LIVERPOOL FC WOMEN vs ARSENAL WOMEN

Final 1:3

Arsenal Women won Last goal: Liverpool FC Women

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alessia Russo · assist Mariona Caldentey — Arsenal Women
  2. ⚽ Mariona Caldentey · assist Katie McCabe — Arsenal Women
  3. ⚽ Alessia Russo · assist Victoria Pelova — Arsenal Women

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zara Shaw · assist Gemma Bonner — Liverpool FC Women

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Arsenal Women
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 15% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 124 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 124 completed matches.

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 32% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 13% (Weak)
23 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
81 predictions
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
105 predictions

Match overview