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Finland · Veikkausliiga

16 May 2026 16:00 UTC

IF GNISTAN vs FF JARO

Final 5:0

IF Gnistan won Last goal: IF Gnistan

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Adeleke Akinyemi — IF Gnistan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Edmund Arko-Mensah — IF Gnistan
  2. ⚽ Adeleke Akinyemi — IF Gnistan
  3. ⚽ Rachide Gnanou — IF Gnistan
  4. ⚽ Joakim Latonen — IF Gnistan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
FF Jaro
90-minute result: IF Gnistan
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 160 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 126 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
87 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
48 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
107 predictions

Match overview