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England · Professional Development League · Premier League 2 Playoff

16 May 2026 18:30 UTC

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ACADEMY vs MANCHESTER UNITED ACADEMY

Final 1:0

Brighton & Hove Albion Academy won Last goal: Brighton & Hove Albion Academy

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tyler Silsby — Brighton & Hove Albion Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Brighton & Hove Albion Academy
90-minute result: Brighton & Hove Albion Academy
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 290 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 290 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 49% (Average)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
230 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
206 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
257 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
158 predictions
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
212 predictions

Match overview