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England · Professional Development League · Premier League 2 Playoff

08 May 2026 18:00 UTC

MANCHESTER CITY ACADEMY vs MANCHESTER UNITED ACADEMY

Final 3:4

Manchester United Academy won Last goal: Manchester City Academy

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Floyd Samba — Manchester City Academy
  2. ⚽ Chido Obi — Manchester United Academy
  3. ⚽ Chido Obi — Manchester United Academy
  4. ⚽ Shea Lacey (penalty) — Manchester United Academy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jack Moorhouse — Manchester United Academy
  2. ⚽ Mahamadou Sangare — Manchester City Academy
  3. ⚽ Floyd Samba — Manchester City Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Manchester City Academy
90-minute result: Manchester United Academy
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
5:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+5; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 288 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 288 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 56% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 44% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
228 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
255 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
77 predictions

Match overview