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England · Professional Development League · Premier League 2 Playoff

04 May 2026 17:00 UTC

CRYSTAL PALACE ACADEMY vs MANCHESTER UNITED ACADEMY

Final 0:2

Manchester United Academy won Last goal: Manchester United Academy

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Armer — Manchester United Academy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Chido Obi — Manchester United Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Manchester United Academy
90-minute result: Manchester United Academy
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 286 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 286 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 53% (Average)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
226 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
204 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
253 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 4.5 27% (Weak)
75 predictions

Match overview