AC AJACCIO vs BOURG EN BRESSE PERONNAS
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
33% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
32% (High)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 262 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 255 completed matches.
1X2
41% (Weak)
Both teams to score
50% (Average)
Total 1.5
63% (Good)
Total 2.5
55% (Average)
Total 3.5
67% (Strong)
Total 4.5
85% (Strong)
Score
9% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 31 past matches
1X2
26% (Weak)
Both teams to score
45% (Average)
Total 1.5
52% (Average)
Total 2.5
45% (Average)
Total 3.5
65% (Good)
Total 4.5
90% (Strong)
Score
3% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
41% (Weak)
186 predictions
Both teams to score
51% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 1.5
72% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5
52% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 3.5
23% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 4.5
14% (Weak)
29 predictions