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France · National

15 May 2026 17:30 UTC

VALENCIENNES vs CHATEAUROUX

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Chateauroux

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stredair Appuah — Valenciennes

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ronaldo Freitas — Chateauroux
  2. ⚽ Gaëtan Courtet — Valenciennes
  3. ⚽ Yannis Verdier — Chateauroux
  4. 🟥 Schinear Mopila (straight red) — Chateauroux

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 82 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 255 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
69 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
149 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
226 predictions

Match overview