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France · National

15 May 2026 17:30 UTC

SC AUBAGNE AIR BEL vs CAEN

Final 3:1

SC Aubagne Air Bel won Last goal: SC Aubagne Air Bel

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Makrane Bentoumi — SC Aubagne Air Bel

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ivann Botella — Caen
  2. ⚽ Enzo Mayilla — SC Aubagne Air Bel
  3. ⚽ Makrane Bentoumi — SC Aubagne Air Bel

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Caen
90-minute result: SC Aubagne Air Bel
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 255 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
186 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 4.5 14% (Weak)
29 predictions

Match overview