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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Relegation Playoff

15 May 2026 16:00 UTC

AKRITAS CHLORAKAS vs AEL LIMASSOL

Final 1:2

AEL Limassol won Last goal: AEL Limassol

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stefanos Miller — Akritas Chlorakas
  2. ⚽ Zakaria Sawo — AEL Limassol

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Daniil Paroutis — AEL Limassol

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
AEL Limassol
90-minute result: AEL Limassol
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
157 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
115 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
55 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
208 predictions

Match overview