← Back to matches

Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Championship Playoff

10 May 2026 15:00 UTC

APOLLON LIMASSOL vs APOEL NICOSIA

Final 2:0

Apollon Limassol won Last goal: Apollon Limassol

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Garry Rodrigues (penalty) — Apollon Limassol

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ivan Ljubic — Apollon Limassol
  2. 🟥 Gabriel Maioli (straight red) — APOEL Nicosia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Apollon Limassol
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 75 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 219 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 220 completed matches.

1X2 21% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 21% (Weak)
63 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
165 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
205 predictions

Match overview