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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

15 May 2026 12:30 UTC

OLIMPIA vs RECOLETA

Final 3:2

Olimpia won Last goal: Olimpia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Eduardo Delmas — Olimpia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Giuseppe Guggiari — Recoleta
  2. ⚽ Adrián Alcaraz (penalty) — Olimpia
  3. ⚽ Allan Wlk — Recoleta
  4. ⚽ Hugo Sandoval — Olimpia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Olimpia
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 100 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 249 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
165 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
145 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
188 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
205 predictions

Match overview