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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

11 May 2026 20:45 UTC

SPORTIVO AMELIANO vs RECOLETA

Awaits result

Last goal: Sportivo Ameliano

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Wilfrido Manuel Baez — Recoleta
  2. ⚽ Elvio Vera — Sportivo Ameliano
  3. ⚽ Cristhian Ocampos — Sportivo Ameliano

Model prediction

Weak
39%
1X2
Sportivo Ameliano
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 247 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 221 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
110 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
204 predictions

Match preview