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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

11 May 2026 23:00 UTC

CERRO PORTENO vs GUARANI

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Cerro Porteno
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 247 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 221 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
144 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
204 predictions

Match overview