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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Playoff Apertura finalstage

12 May 2026 23:20 UTC

ATLETICO NACIONAL vs INTERNACIONAL DE BOGOTA

Final 7:1

Atletico Nacional won Last goal: Atletico Nacional

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Valencia — Internacional de Bogota
  2. ⚽ Simón García — Atletico Nacional
  3. ⚽ Mateus Uribe — Atletico Nacional

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alfredo Morelos — Atletico Nacional
  2. ⚽ Simón García — Atletico Nacional
  3. ⚽ Cristian Arango — Atletico Nacional
  4. ⚽ Edwin Cardona — Atletico Nacional
  5. ⚽ Andrés Sarmiento — Atletico Nacional

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Atletico Nacional
90-minute result: Atletico Nacional
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 7:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 429 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 398 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
277 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
203 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
284 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
237 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
331 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
374 predictions

Match overview