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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

11 May 2026 16:00 UTC

RB LEIPZIG vs BAYER LEVERKUSEN

Final 1:3

Bayer Leverkusen won Last goal: Bayer Leverkusen

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lisa Baum — RB Leipzig
  2. ⚽ Cornelia Kramer — Bayer Leverkusen
  3. ⚽ Katharina Piljic — Bayer Leverkusen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ruby Grant — Bayer Leverkusen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Bayer Leverkusen
90-minute result: Bayer Leverkusen
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 171 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 172 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
131 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
118 predictions
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
132 predictions

Match overview