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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

09 May 2026 12:00 UTC

FREIBURG vs VFL WOLFSBURG

Final 2:4

VfL Wolfsburg won Last goal: VfL Wolfsburg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Selina Vobian — Freiburg
  2. ⚽ Camilla Kuever — VfL Wolfsburg
  3. ⚽ Lena Lattwein — VfL Wolfsburg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sarai Linder — VfL Wolfsburg
  2. ⚽ Alena Bienz — Freiburg
  3. ⚽ Ella Peddemors — VfL Wolfsburg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
VfL Wolfsburg
90-minute result: VfL Wolfsburg
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 61% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 166 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 167 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
128 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
114 predictions
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 4.5 27% (Weak)
37 predictions

Match overview