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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Relegation Playoff

09 May 2026 15:00 UTC

AEL LIMASSOL vs OLYMPIAKOS NICOSIA

Final 1:3

Olympiakos Nicosia won Last goal: Olympiakos Nicosia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zakaria Sawo — AEL Limassol
  2. ⚽ Iasonas Pikis — Olympiakos Nicosia
  3. 🟥 Thapelo Maseko (straight red) — AEL Limassol
  4. ⚽ Viktor Kovalenko — Olympiakos Nicosia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Leonidas Konomis — Olympiakos Nicosia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Olympiakos Nicosia
90-minute result: Olympiakos Nicosia
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 217 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
156 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
102 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
162 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
165 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
202 predictions

Match overview