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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Championship Playoff

06 May 2026 16:00 UTC

AEK LARNACA vs APOLLON LIMASSOL

Final 1:0

AEK Larnaca won Last goal: AEK Larnaca

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Riad Bajic — AEK Larnaca

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Godswill Ekpolo (2nd yellow) — AEK Larnaca

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Apollon Limassol
90-minute result: AEK Larnaca
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 212 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 213 completed matches.

1X2 22% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 22% (Weak)
60 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
158 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
95 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
198 predictions

Match overview