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England · National League Premier · National League Playoff

10 May 2026 14:00 UTC

BOREHAM WOOD vs ROCHDALE

Final 2:2

Rochdale advanced Last goal: Rochdale

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Matt Rush — Boreham Wood

2nd half

  1. Abdul Abdulmalik — Boreham Wood
  2. Tyler Smith — Rochdale
  3. Emmanuel Dieseruvwe — Rochdale

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 91 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 522 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 546 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 92 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
406 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
323 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
445 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
291 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
163 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
72 predictions

Match overview